Before we begin, here are the past six winter outlooks for snowfall. We’ve also calculated temperatures as well. We take pride in our outlooks and will be the first to admit when they’re wrong. While it takes weeks to put together this outlook, NO seasonal outlook will be ‘peaches ‘n cream.” We use the data that is available to give our best shot at what we could see. As we all know, Mother Nature likes to throw wrenches in the forecast.
If you take the top grade for only deducting points when our snow forecast was BELOW, we’ve done quite well, except for a few times. We did add a bottom grade to combine snow busts too low AND too high — just to be fair (very few care if they end up with much more than excepted, unless you are not a winter lover…) Last winter was a good winter, except for Hampton Roads. In 2016-17, the entire snow forecast went down the drain. Having 5 (or 4 1/2) winter outlooks out of 6 verify in the snowfall department is pretty good. Temperatures were issues at times. Last winter, we were actually a bit warmer than forecast, and 2016-17 was basically a blow torch. However, the rest of the winters were very close to what was forecast.
Earlier this month, we posted our preliminary thoughts for the 2019-2020 winter… However, nothing has really changed. We are still confident that this winter will be the coldest since 2013-14 or 2009-10.