A weak disturbance will slide across the mountains of Virginia and West Virginia early Thursday morning and produce a burst of snow.
Temperatures will range 29 to 33 degrees. The ground is cold and snow will likely accumulate on contact. There will likely be a little freezing drizzle mixed in. Elevated surfaces and untreated roads could be come slick. The best chance at seeing an inch or more of snow will be across the New River Valley and in the mountains.
Some of the models are a bit different where the axis of the light to moderate snow will fall. The morning NAM 3 km (North American Model) showed snow across all of Southwest Virginia from 4:00 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. Thursday.
However, the evening run of the same model takes the snow across the Roanoke Valley and into the Central Shenandoah Valley, before dissipating early Thursday afternoon.
The GFS (American model) has widespread snow across the mountains, extending into the Roanoke and New River Valleys — and as far north as the Central Shenandoah Valley.
The UKMet model is very similar to the GFS model.
Regardless, it looks like snow is likely for the mountains and New River and Roanoke Valleys early Thursday morning. The morning commute could be impacted. It only takes a little snow to cause issues.
