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Rain, wind, & thunderstorms likely on Wednesday; Locally 1 to 2 inches across Central and Eastern Virginia

Two systems, one across the Great Lakes Region and the other in the Southeast United States, will phase together and create rainy and windy conditions for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. TIMING THE RAIN (HRRR Model) Rain will develop across Southwest Virginia. The rain could be heavy at times. A developing area of low pressure will […]

Much needed rain likely on Wednesday; gusty winds along the coast

Two systems, one across the Great Lakes and the other in the southeast, will phase off the Mid-Atlantic coast and become one big Nor’easter for the Northeast. Rain will spread into Southwest Virginia late Tuesday evening into the early morning hours of Wednesday. By Wednesday morning, a cold front and developing low-pressure system off the […]

Coastal flooding, high rip current risk through Saturday; INCREASING Sunday RAIN chance

COASTAL FLOODING The National Weather Service has issued Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories through Saturday, for counties along the Chesapeake Bay. A large area of low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast will cause water levels to rise one to two feet above ground level. Areas prone to flooding, especially across low-lying areas near […]

Long Range Forecast: A bit more patience, please; Wetter times ahead

It’s been very difficult to break this dry pattern. However, over the past few weeks, we have seen some changes across the Mid-Atlantic. Some areas are not ‘as dry,’ while other places continue to see little, if any rainfall. We are at least in the right direction, in regards to temperatures. It’s nice to know […]

Showers for Northern & Western Virginia; Cooler on Tuesday

A cold front will offer ‘some’ relief in the rainfall department across Northern and Western Virginia, but very small amounts elsewhere. Forecast Breakdown: This Evening into Tonight Rain will move across the Northern and Western portions of the state late this afternoon and continue into early Tuesday morning. Areas along and west of the Blue […]

SUNDAY’S FARMER’S REPORT: Concerns for soybeans, hay shortages

The drought continues, with September coming in as either the hottest or top 5 warmest September’s on record. Many records have already been broken in early October with near 100 degree heat. While drier weather can be good for farmers, any drought duration is a bad thing — and its starting to hit hard. In […]

24 HOUR FORECAST: Much cooler with areas of frost in higher elevations; 50’s in the Blue Ridge Saturday!?

SHOCK TO THE SYSTEM! After WEEKS of above average temperatures and starting off October near 100 degrees, we are FINALLY done with the heat! Overnight lows will fall into the 40s across the Piedmont and Shenandoah Valley. There will even be some mid to upper 30s across portions of Northwestern Virginia, and Central and Western […]

‘Burn Bans’ in effect for many Virginia counties

As of October 4, the several counties and cities are under a burn ban due to drought conditions. It is unlawful for any person to burn leaves, trash, or debris. Recreational fires are not under the burn ban, but officials discourage any use of open flame while the ban is in effect. The following counties […]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 4: Enhanced fire danger across the Piedmont and Eastern Virginia

A dry cold front will move across the region this morning. A gusty north to northeast breeze will create an elevated fire threat this afternoon, mainly from the Virginia Piedmont points east to the coastline. Expect sustained winds 15 to 20 MPH later this morning into this afternoon with gusts 25 to 30 MPH. The […]

2019-20 Preliminary Virginia Winter Outlook: Cold & snowy; Could be similar to 2009-10, 2013-14

2019-20 WINTER HEADLINES NOTE: Our first guess region by region snowfall forecast for 2019-20 is at the bottom of this post. *** PAST SNOWFALL OUTLOOK YEARS Before we start, here’s a look at past snowfall outlooks. I don’t hide anything and I’ll be the first to tell you if I’m wrong. Out of the past […]

Factors that go into forecasting the winter

SNOW COVER ACROSS EURASIA & SEA ICE ENSO & SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES This winter, we will have a “La Nada” or “Neutral” conditions. However, some models show a very weak El Nino developing. This is something that will need to be monitored, as this could open the door to a more active subtropical jet stream, […]

WEATHER AWARE DAYS Wednesday & Thursday: Record-breaking Heat

WEATHER AWARE DAYS Wednesday and Thursday due to temperatures well into the 90s with heat index values around 100 degrees. Although we are entering early October, you can easily get heat exhaustion during the hottest part of the day. Make sure to take frequent breaks, drink plenty of fluids, and find shade to stay cool. […]



Potential Dorian Impacts Thursday & Friday: Wind, Heavy Rain, Flood Threat

POTENTIAL IMPACTS – THURSDAY & FRIDAY COASTAL FLOODING THREAT – THURSDAY & FRIDAY We have a HIGH RISK for impacts across the Outer Banks of North Carolina, including the Pamlico Sound, and interior portions of Eastern North Carolina. Hurricane Dorian is expected to make a north turn Monday into Tuesday, near or just off the […]

Saturday 8/31: Dorian Update

8:00 AM SAT – #DORIAN Update from Tropical Weather Action / Virginia Weather Action*** PLEASE READ ALL INFORMATION BELOW AS IT WILL LIKELY ANSWER YOUR QUESTIONS *** While model guidance trends EAST, MANY ensemble members are just inland or right along the coast of Florida. Even if the center of Dorian stays off the Florida […]

Thursday 8/29: DORIAN Update

Things are certainly getting “interesting” with the models. For the past several days, I’ve mentioned two tracks 1) Dorian moves into Florida, then skirts the Southeast / Mid-Atlantic Coast and then moves out to sea, 2) Dorian moves across Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico and makes another landfall along the Alabama coast or […]

WEDNESDAY 8/14: Severe storms possible across Central & Eastern Virginia

FUTURE RADAR – WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING A cold front will cross the region Wednesday afternoon and become stationary along the coast. The Storm Prediction Center has a MARGINAL RISK for severe weather across Eastern Virginia and portions of the Delmarva Peninsula. The airmass remains very muggy and humid. This will help trigger thunderstorms across Central and […]

Watching Highways 460 & 58 through this evening for damaging winds, isolated tornadoes

Peter Forister, NOVA Storm ChasingDenver Murray, Virginia Weather Action Since our previous update Monday evening, the storm risk has migrated southward. However, this is still a serious situation for Southside Virginia and portions of Hampton Roads. The strongest storms will be along and south of Highway 460 where multiple supercells are expected to develop with […]

Monday Evening Update: Strong Storms Tuesday; Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes possible

By: Peter Forister, NOVA Storm Chasing & Denver Murray, Virginia Weather Action Tuesday may be a busy day across portions of our coverage area. Damaging wind, supercells, and a tornado risk are all expected in a severe thunderstorm event tomorrow for the Mid-Atlantic. The local National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center have outlined […]

TUESDAY ALERT: ENHANCED RISK across Northern Virginia & much of Maryland; Damaging wind gusts and tornadoes possible

By: Peter Forister, NOVA Storm Chasing & Denver Murray, Virginia Weather Action Tuesday may be a busy day across portions of our coverage area. Damaging wind, supercells, and a tornado risk are all expected in a severe thunderstorm event tomorrow for the Mid-Atlantic. The local National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center have outlined […]

NWS confirms EF-1 tornado in Pulaski County, microburst in Giles County

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has confirmed that an EF-1 tornado AND straight-line winds, caused damage Friday evening in Pulaski County. A microburst was the cause of damage in Giles County. In Giles County, National Weather Service confirmed microburst damage, with maximum wind speeds 90 to 95 mph. A quick straightening storm moved south-southeast […]

TONIGHT’S WEATHER ACTION FORECAST: A comfortable August night!

You really can’t ask for better weather in mid-August! After a beautiful, less humid Saturday afternoon, lows tonight will fall back into the 60s, with 50s in the valley and mountains. Some parts of the Highlands and Allegheny Mountains could see the thermometer dip into the upper 40s overnight! Sunday will continue to be less […]

(Update) Wednesday, 8/7: WEATHER ACTION DAY for strong to severe storms

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Wednesday, 8/7: WEATHER ACTION DAY for strong to severe storms

Tuesday, August 6: Line of strong storms with heavy rain possible this evening

Once again, another line of strong storms will be possible east of the Blue Ridge.NAM 3km model shows spotty storms along the Blue Ridge, then becoming more numerous as they reach the Piedmont. These storms could possibly merge into one line before reaching the I-95 corridor. The atmosphere remains very humid and soupy and any […]

One ‘Crappy’ Situation: Toilet explodes after lightning strikes septic tank