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Near record high temperatures Friday; Low severe weather risk Friday night into Saturday

While Thursday will be very warm across the Commonwealth, with highs in the 60’s and 70’s, Friday will be even warmer with highs in the low to mid 80’s across Central and Southern Virginia! These temperatures are what we usually see well into the month of May! Temperatures will be a little cooler across the…

Snow for Hampton Roads and North Carolina this afternoon & tonight

WINTER STORM WARNINGS are in effect for Hampton Roads and Northeast North Carolina from 3 PM this afternoon until 7 AM Friday morning. Strong high pressure to the north is helping to suppress the storm across Southern Virginia and into North Carolina. Dew points will be in the single digits across Northern Virginia, which is…

Burst of snow with some freezing drizzle, likely early Thursday for New River Valley, Roanoke Valley, and Highlands

A weak disturbance will slide across the mountains of Virginia and West Virginia early Thursday morning and produce a burst of snow. Temperatures will range 29 to 33 degrees. The ground is cold and snow will likely accumulate on contact. There will likely be a little freezing drizzle mixed in. Elevated surfaces and untreated roads…

Wintry mix likely Saturday

A wintry mix will develop between 7:00 a.m. to 10:00 a.m. across the area, likely in the form of light freezing drizzle and sleet, mixed with some snow early. A second batch of precipitation will move into the area late morning into early afternoon and will likely still fall as frozen precipitation across the Central…

Weekend Weather Update for January 10-12…

Now that another weak Winter Weather event has passed, our progressive transient weather pattern shifts back to the warm side for the next 7-10 days (depending on the model you look at) with our next rain chances set for late Saturday afternoon into early Sunday. A strong Low pressure system (Great Lakes Cutter) will bring…

GO or NO? Tuesday’s School Guess on closings, delays, and early dismissal

Across Southwest Virginia, precipitation will be moving into the area between 4:00 a.m. and 7:00 a.m. Some schools have already delayed class, but there’s a chance that some may end up closing, especially closer to the Virginia/West Virginia border, where more snow is likely. Across the New River Valley and far Southern Piedmont, a mix…

Moderate to heavy snow will impact the evening commute in Northern Virginia

A area of low pressure will move from the Tennessee River Valley this morning, into the Mid-Atlantic region this afternoon. A surface low pressure system will develop off the coast. The axis of the moderate to heavy bursts of snow will be across the Highlands, Northern and Central Virginia Piedmont, and the Northern and Central…

Snow possible Tuesday across Southwest Virginia, Shenandoah Valley, Virginia Piedmont

SNOWFALL MAP – FIRST CALL (TUESDAY) A low pressure system will move across the Tennessee River Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday. Cold air in place Tuesday morning will precipitation to be in the form of snow across Southwestern Virginia, Shenandoah Valley, and portions of the Virginia Piedmont. While this is a quick moving…

Rest of Winter 2020: Revised Outlook for Virginia and Mid-Atlantic

November was bitter cold and December was the exact opposite. Does that mean winter is over? The short answer to that is NO. First, the technical stuff: Taking a look at the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies, one issue is the position of the “warm blob” over the Gulf of Alaska. This IS and WILL be…

Freezing rain likely Friday morning

Thursday night will be cold and dry, with lows in the mid-20’s across much of the Shenandoah Valley. On Friday, high pressure will move off the Northeast coast, with light precipitation moving northward from the Carolina’s into Southwest and Southern Virginia. Classic cold-air damming event (cold air trapped at the surface) will result in a…

Wintry precipitation threat increasing for Tuesday Night into Wednesday

A strong cold front will move across the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday, with an area of low pressure arriving Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will likely bring wintry weather with accumulating snow possible Tuesday night into Wednesday. On Tuesday, rain showers will develop across the area. Ahead of the front, temperatures will rise into the 50’s…

High impact storm across Hampton Roads and Outer Banks this weekend; Flooding, wind, high waves, and beach erosion

A developing Nor’easter will bring high impacts across coastal sections of the Eastern United States over the next several days. Unfortunately, the Outer Banks will get the brunt of this system with heavy rain, strong winds, beach erosion, and flooding. Impacts will also be felt across the Delmarva Peninsula, counties along the Chesapeake Bay, and…

Some snow accumulation increasing Tuesday across Central & Eastern Virginia, mainly on grass and colder surfaces

Yes, temperatures will be well into the 60’s this afternoon and ground temperatures in the 40’s to near 50 degrees — but Mother Nature could throw us a surprise snow. It’s a very interesting setup. Cold air timing with heavier precipitation have to meet in order for this to work out. Over the past few…

Rain ending as snow Tuesday; Very cold and windy Tuesday night & Wednesday

A strong arctic cold front will plow across the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday, crashing temperatures below freezing from west (morning) to east (late afternoon and evening.) TUESDAY MORNING – 4 AM TO 7 AM The arctic front will each Southwestern Virginia early Tuesday morning. Rain will change to snow and temperatures will fall into the well…

THURSDAY’S SEVERE WEATHER: High concern for damaging wind gusts, tornadoes, heavy rain, and flooding

By: Peter Forister, Denver Murray This is a fairly typical late fall setup for severe weather in the Mid-Atlantic, but there are a few details worth exploring that stand out. This won’t be a “record” severe event, but because of the timing with Halloween festivities in the evening, please pay careful attention and be weather…

Strong to severe storms, heavy rain, & gusty winds Thursday

Unfortunately, Mother Nature has a ‘trick’ brewing just in time for Halloween. Strong to severe storms are possible on Thursday afternoon and evening. Some storms could produce a few tornadoes. GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF I-95 TIMING: NOON TO 5 PM …. I-77 TO I-81 & BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS5…

2019-2020 VWN Virginia Weather Outlook: Coldest, snowiest winter since 2013-14, 2009-10

VERIFICATION Before we begin, here are the past six winter outlooks for snowfall. We’ve also calculated temperatures as well. We take pride in our outlooks and will be the first to admit when they’re wrong. While it takes weeks to put together this outlook, NO seasonal outlook will be ‘peaches ‘n cream.” We use the…

Moderate to heavy rain & gusty winds likely Saturday Night & Sunday; Coastal and inland flooding possible

Updated: 6:00 PM riday, October 18, 2019By: Denver Murray, Peter Forister Updated: 6:00 PM Friday, October 18, 2019 Tropical Storm Nestor will make landfall early Saturday morning along the Florida Panhandle and transition an extratropical system as it moves across Georgia and the Carolina’s on Saturday into Sunday. Coastal flooding will be a concern from…

Disturbance to bring rain, wind, and coastal flooding Sunday

Updated: Thursday, October 17, 2019 By: Denver Murray, Peter Forister Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen is expected to become either a Sub-tropical or Tropical Storm tonight and make landfall along the Florida Panhandle early Saturday morning. This system will interact with an upper-level low and a frontal system along the Gulf Coast, with cold, high-pressure building…

Rain, wind, & thunderstorms likely on Wednesday; Locally 1 to 2 inches across Central and Eastern Virginia

Two systems, one across the Great Lakes Region and the other in the Southeast United States, will phase together and create rainy and windy conditions for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. TIMING THE RAIN (HRRR Model) Rain will develop across Southwest Virginia. The rain could be heavy at times. A developing area of low pressure will…

Much needed rain likely on Wednesday; gusty winds along the coast

Two systems, one across the Great Lakes and the other in the southeast, will phase off the Mid-Atlantic coast and become one big Nor’easter for the Northeast. Rain will spread into Southwest Virginia late Tuesday evening into the early morning hours of Wednesday. By Wednesday morning, a cold front and developing low-pressure system off the…

Coastal flooding, high rip current risk through Saturday; INCREASING Sunday RAIN chance

COASTAL FLOODING The National Weather Service has issued Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories through Saturday, for counties along the Chesapeake Bay. A large area of low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast will cause water levels to rise one to two feet above ground level. Areas prone to flooding, especially across low-lying areas near…

Long Range Forecast: A bit more patience, please; Wetter times ahead

It’s been very difficult to break this dry pattern. However, over the past few weeks, we have seen some changes across the Mid-Atlantic. Some areas are not ‘as dry,’ while other places continue to see little, if any rainfall. We are at least in the right direction, in regards to temperatures. It’s nice to know…

Showers for Northern & Western Virginia; Cooler on Tuesday

A cold front will offer ‘some’ relief in the rainfall department across Northern and Western Virginia, but very small amounts elsewhere. Forecast Breakdown: This Evening into Tonight Rain will move across the Northern and Western portions of the state late this afternoon and continue into early Tuesday morning. Areas along and west of the Blue…

SUNDAY’S FARMER’S REPORT: Concerns for soybeans, hay shortages

The drought continues, with September coming in as either the hottest or top 5 warmest September’s on record. Many records have already been broken in early October with near 100 degree heat. While drier weather can be good for farmers, any drought duration is a bad thing — and its starting to hit hard. In…

24 HOUR FORECAST: Much cooler with areas of frost in higher elevations; 50’s in the Blue Ridge Saturday!?

SHOCK TO THE SYSTEM! After WEEKS of above average temperatures and starting off October near 100 degrees, we are FINALLY done with the heat! Overnight lows will fall into the 40s across the Piedmont and Shenandoah Valley. There will even be some mid to upper 30s across portions of Northwestern Virginia, and Central and Western…

‘Burn Bans’ in effect for many Virginia counties

As of October 4, the several counties and cities are under a burn ban due to drought conditions. It is unlawful for any person to burn leaves, trash, or debris. Recreational fires are not under the burn ban, but officials discourage any use of open flame while the ban is in effect. The following counties…

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 4: Enhanced fire danger across the Piedmont and Eastern Virginia

A dry cold front will move across the region this morning. A gusty north to northeast breeze will create an elevated fire threat this afternoon, mainly from the Virginia Piedmont points east to the coastline. Expect sustained winds 15 to 20 MPH later this morning into this afternoon with gusts 25 to 30 MPH. The…

2019-20 Preliminary Virginia Winter Outlook: Cold & snowy; Could be similar to 2009-10, 2013-14

2019-20 WINTER HEADLINES NOTE: Our first guess region by region snowfall forecast for 2019-20 is at the bottom of this post. *** PAST SNOWFALL OUTLOOK YEARS Before we start, here’s a look at past snowfall outlooks. I don’t hide anything and I’ll be the first to tell you if I’m wrong. Out of the past…

Factors that go into forecasting the winter

SNOW COVER ACROSS EURASIA & SEA ICE ENSO & SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES This winter, we will have a “La Nada” or “Neutral” conditions. However, some models show a very weak El Nino developing. This is something that will need to be monitored, as this could open the door to a more active subtropical jet stream,…

WEATHER AWARE DAYS Wednesday & Thursday: Record-breaking Heat

WEATHER AWARE DAYS Wednesday and Thursday due to temperatures well into the 90s with heat index values around 100 degrees. Although we are entering early October, you can easily get heat exhaustion during the hottest part of the day. Make sure to take frequent breaks, drink plenty of fluids, and find shade to stay cool.…

#DORIAN: CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN DETERIORATE ACROSS COASTAL VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY NIGHT

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Potential Dorian Impacts Thursday & Friday: Wind, Heavy Rain, Flood Threat

POTENTIAL IMPACTS – THURSDAY & FRIDAY COASTAL FLOODING THREAT – THURSDAY & FRIDAY We have a HIGH RISK for impacts across the Outer Banks of North Carolina, including the Pamlico Sound, and interior portions of Eastern North Carolina. Hurricane Dorian is expected to make a north turn Monday into Tuesday, near or just off the…

Saturday 8/31: Dorian Update

8:00 AM SAT – #DORIAN Update from Tropical Weather Action / Virginia Weather Action *** PLEASE READ ALL INFORMATION BELOW AS IT WILL LIKELY ANSWER YOUR QUESTIONS *** While model guidance trends EAST, MANY ensemble members are just inland or right along the coast of Florida. Even if the center of Dorian stays off the…

Thursday 8/29: DORIAN Update

Things are certainly getting “interesting” with the models. For the past several days, I’ve mentioned two tracks 1) Dorian moves into Florida, then skirts the Southeast / Mid-Atlantic Coast and then moves out to sea, 2) Dorian moves across Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico and makes another landfall along the Alabama coast or…

WEDNESDAY 8/14: Severe storms possible across Central & Eastern Virginia

FUTURE RADAR – WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING A cold front will cross the region Wednesday afternoon and become stationary along the coast. The Storm Prediction Center has a MARGINAL RISK for severe weather across Eastern Virginia and portions of the Delmarva Peninsula. The airmass remains very muggy and humid. This will help trigger thunderstorms across Central and…

Watching Highways 460 & 58 through this evening for damaging winds, isolated tornadoes

Peter Forister, NOVA Storm ChasingDenver Murray, Virginia Weather Action Since our previous update Monday evening, the storm risk has migrated southward. However, this is still a serious situation for Southside Virginia and portions of Hampton Roads. The strongest storms will be along and south of Highway 460 where multiple supercells are expected to develop with…

Monday Evening Update: Strong Storms Tuesday; Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes possible

By: Peter Forister, NOVA Storm Chasing & Denver Murray, Virginia Weather Action Tuesday may be a busy day across portions of our coverage area. Damaging wind, supercells, and a tornado risk are all expected in a severe thunderstorm event tomorrow for the Mid-Atlantic. The local National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center have outlined…

TUESDAY ALERT: ENHANCED RISK across Northern Virginia & much of Maryland; Damaging wind gusts and tornadoes possible

By: Peter Forister, NOVA Storm Chasing & Denver Murray, Virginia Weather Action Tuesday may be a busy day across portions of our coverage area. Damaging wind, supercells, and a tornado risk are all expected in a severe thunderstorm event tomorrow for the Mid-Atlantic. The local National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center have outlined…

NWS confirms EF-1 tornado in Pulaski County, microburst in Giles County

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has confirmed that an EF-1 tornado AND straight-line winds, caused damage Friday evening in Pulaski County. A microburst was the cause of damage in Giles County. In Giles County, National Weather Service confirmed microburst damage, with maximum wind speeds 90 to 95 mph. A quick straightening storm moved south-southeast…

TONIGHT’S WEATHER ACTION FORECAST: A comfortable August night!

You really can’t ask for better weather in mid-August! After a beautiful, less humid Saturday afternoon, lows tonight will fall back into the 60s, with 50s in the valley and mountains. Some parts of the Highlands and Allegheny Mountains could see the thermometer dip into the upper 40s overnight! Sunday will continue to be less…

(Update) Wednesday, 8/7: WEATHER ACTION DAY for strong to severe storms

{{ vc_btn: title=UPDATED%3A+WED+8%2F7+6%3A00+AM&style=3d&color=blue&size=lg&i_icon_fontawesome=fa+fa-tint&add_icon=true }} — TIMING — VALLEY & MOUNTAINS: NOON TO 5 PM PIEDMONT: 2 PM TO 7 PM I-95 & I-85: 4 PM TO 10 PM COASTAL AREAS: 6 PM TO MIDNIGHT The Storm Prediction Center has areas along and east of I-95 in a SLIGHT RISK (Level 2) for severe weather on…

Wednesday, 8/7: WEATHER ACTION DAY for strong to severe storms

— TIMING –VALLEY & MOUNTAINS: 1 PM TO 6 PMPIEDMONT: 3 PM TO 8 PMI-95 & I-85: 4 PM TO 10 PMCOASTAL AREAS: 6 PM TO MIDNIGHT   The Storm Prediction Center has areas along and east of I-95 in a SLIGHT RISK (Level 2) for severe weather on Wednesday. Some storms could be severe…

Tuesday, August 6: Line of strong storms with heavy rain possible this evening

Once again, another line of strong storms will be possible east of the Blue Ridge.NAM 3km model shows spotty storms along the Blue Ridge, then becoming more numerous as they reach the Piedmont. These storms could possibly merge into one line before reaching the I-95 corridor. The atmosphere remains very humid and soupy and any…

One ‘Crappy’ Situation: Toilet explodes after lightning strikes septic tank

PORT CHARLOTTE, FL – A septic tank was hit by lightning over the weekend, causing one ‘crappy’ situation. According to WINK-TV, who interviewed the homeowners, lightning hit methane gases from fecal matter built up in the pipes, causing the toilet bowl to explode. The Ward family said the explosion caused their master bedroom window to…